Which Theory Best Explains Modern Conflicts?

5 min read

Modern conflicts are complex, involving states, non-state actors, ideology, identity, and global systems. In IB Global Politics, students are encouraged to use theory as an analytical tool, not as a definitive answer. No single theory fully explains modern conflicts, but each offers valuable insights. The question of which theory best explains modern conflicts therefore requires comparison and evaluation.

Realism is often the starting point for analysing conflict. It explains modern conflicts as the result of competition for power and security in an anarchic international system. From a realist perspective, wars occur because states fear each other and seek to protect their interests. Military build-ups, alliances, and deterrence strategies are all consistent with realist explanations. Realism is particularly effective in explaining interstate conflicts, arms races, and great-power rivalry. However, it struggles to explain conflicts driven by ideology, identity, or non-state actors.

Liberalism offers a different explanation by focusing on institutions, interdependence, and domestic politics. Liberals argue that conflicts arise when cooperation fails, institutions are weak, or economic ties break down. Civil wars and internal conflicts may be linked to poor governance, lack of development, or weak democratic institutions. Liberalism helps explain why some conflicts persist despite global cooperation frameworks. However, critics argue that liberalism underestimates the role of power and coercion in modern warfare.

Constructivism is especially useful for understanding many contemporary conflicts. It explains conflict through ideas, identities, norms, and perceptions rather than material power alone. Ethnic conflict, religious extremism, and ideological wars are better understood through constructivist analysis. Constructivism explains why actors fight over symbols, beliefs, or historical narratives, even when material interests appear limited. Its weakness lies in offering less predictive power and fewer concrete policy solutions.

Modern conflicts often involve non-state actors, blurred borders, and asymmetric warfare. These features challenge traditional state-centric theories. As a result, many IB examiners expect students to argue that a combination of theories best explains modern conflict. Realism explains power struggles, liberalism explains institutional failure, and constructivism explains identity-driven violence.

For IB Global Politics students, the strongest answers do not choose one theory uncritically. Instead, they evaluate which theory is most useful for a specific type of conflict and justify that choice with clear reasoning. This theoretical flexibility demonstrates high-level understanding and critical thinking.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Is realism the best theory for explaining conflict?
Realism is very effective for explaining conflicts involving state power and security. However, it cannot fully explain identity-based or ideological conflicts. IB answers should recognise its strengths and limits. Context determines usefulness.

Why is constructivism important for modern conflicts?
Many modern conflicts are driven by identity, belief, and perception. Constructivism explains how ideas shape behaviour. This makes it especially useful for analysing non-state actors. IB students should highlight this relevance.

Does liberalism explain war well?
Liberalism explains conflict through institutional failure, inequality, and weak governance. It is useful for civil conflict and post-war reconstruction. However, it may underestimate coercion. Balanced evaluation is important.

Should IB students choose one theory in essays?
No, IB essays reward comparison and evaluation. Using multiple theories shows depth. Students should justify which theory fits best. Clear reasoning matters more than the choice itself.

How should this question be answered in exams?
Students should outline key theories, apply them to modern conflict, and evaluate effectiveness. Avoid absolute claims. A reasoned conclusion leads to higher marks.

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